Gross Domestic Product in the 4th quarter of 2018. Preliminary estimate

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28.02.2019

Gross domestic product (GDP) in the 4th quarter of 2018 was higher by 4.9% year-on-year comparison against 5.0% in the corresponding quarter of 2017 (constant average prices of the previous year)

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In the 4th quarter of 2018 seasonally adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) (constant  prices, reference year 2010) was higher by 0.5% than in the previous quarter and 4.6% higher than in the  4th quarter of the previous year.

Seasonally unadjusted GDP (constant average prices of the previous year) was higher by 4.9% than in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

In the 4th quarter of 2018 the economic growth came mainly from domestic uses which growth was 4.8% compared with a year earlier and it was lower than in 3rd quarter of 2018 (the growth 6.2%). It resulted from significantly weaker than in the 3rd quarter 2018 increase in gross capital formation by 6.2% (against 14.6% in the 3rd quarter of 2018). Final consumption expenditure grew at the same rate as in the 3rd quarter 2018, i.e. by 4.2%. Consumption expenditure in the households sector rose by 4.3% than a year earlier and it was weaker than in the 3rd quarter of 2018 (the growth of 4.5%). The growth rate of gross fixed capital formation amounted to 6.7%. As a result, the contribution of domestic uses to economic growth was +4.7 percentage points (against +6.0 percentage points in the 3rd quarter of 2018). It came from the positive influence of final consumption expenditure which was +3.0 percentage points (against +3.3 percentage points in the 3rd quarter of 2018), of which the impact of the consumption expenditure in households sector +2.2 percentage points and public consumption expenditure +0.8 percentage points (+2.7 and +0.6 percentage points in the  3rd quarter of 2018 respectively). The impact of gross fixed capital formation amounted to +1.7 percentage points, similarly as in the 3rd quarter of 2018. Changes in inventories was neutral (0.0.percentage points). Consequently positive influence of gross capital formation on economic growth approaching +1.7 percentage points (against +2.7 percentage points in the 3rd quarter of 2018). In the 4th quarter of 2018 the positive impact of the net exports to economic growth was noted which amounted to +0.2 percentage points (against -0.9 percentage points in the 3rd quarter of 2018).

 


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